Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Maddalena Giordano Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recently, Aruzhan Sagandikova and Maddalena Giordano have nearly identical second serve performance, with Sagandikova at 38.82% and Giordano at 38.81%. Does this suggest a closely matched battle on second serves? Yes, but slight differences could tilt the match.
• Giordano has a significant edge in return game stats, leading Sagandikova on both second serve returns (53.06% vs. 48.22%) and first serve returns (35.57% vs. 34.60%). This return game strength gives her an advantage.
• Under pressure, Sagandikova has saved more breakpoints, with a 47.51% rate compared to Giordano's 42.74%, indicating better mental resilience in critical moments.
• Sagandikova has a better overall match win percentage over the past year, winning 50.00% of matches versus Giordano's 34.78%. Does this indicate greater consistency? Indeed, it suggests Sagandikova's more reliable performance.
• Both players have their highest win percentage on hard courts at 53%, but Giordano has a slightly weaker performance history on indoor hard courts, with no wins compared to Sagandikova's 27% win rate.
• Sagandikova frequently competes in lower-tier tournaments with a higher win rate (53.66%), while Giordano plays in higher-tier events but with lower success (38.46%). This suggests that Sagandikova might be more dominant against slightly less skilled opponents.
• Giordano has faced opponents with a better average rank (338.57) than Sagandikova (414.46), hinting at tougher competition level experience for Giordano.
• In deciding sets, Giordano has a higher success rate (50%) compared to Sagandikova (42%), suggesting she might have the upper hand if the match goes the distance.
• Sagandikova also leads in break point conversion in recent form, with a rate of 45.71% compared to Giordano's 42.21%, providing her a slight edge in capitalizing on opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

As Aruzhan Sagandikova and Maddalena Giordano prepare to face off, we observe a match that promises to be tightly contested, given their similar performances in recent months.

Giordano excels in return games, suggesting she might pressure Sagandikova by seizing more return points. However, Sagandikova's ability to save breakpoints and her consistent match performance over the past year could be pivotal.

While Giordano benefits from competing against higher-ranked players and holds a slight edge in deciding set outcomes, Sagandikova's steadiness in breaking points and handling pressure is notable.

Given these factors, Aruzhan Sagandikova's consistent performance and resilience may make her the likely winner in this upcoming match despite Giordano's return game prowess.